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Will the USA acquire or annex Greenland before 2027?
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41%
Chance
58%
Yes1.80x
No1.38x
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This market predicts whether the US will officially announce an agreement to acquire or annex Greenland, transferring sovereignty from Denmark.

Resolution is based on official statements from the US, Danish, or Greenlandic governments.

Resolution "Yes": If an official agreement (treaty, legislation, executive order) transferring sovereignty is announced before December 31, 2026. This counts even if the actual transfer happens later, provided the deal is finalized.

Resolution "No": If no official agreement to transfer sovereignty is announced by the deadline.

Social media posts or lease extensions (e.g., military bases) do not count.